The Scorecard is the post-analysis directory for LF0 directional equity research calls. It links each review back to the original LF0 article and tracks what happened after publication. This page always shows the most recent 6 months — older calls move to the archive pages linked below.
The rule is simple: I am excluding HOLD ratings and reviewing only the directional calls: Strong Buy, Buy, Sell, and Strong Sell. For each one, I want to answer three questions:
- Was the call correct so far?
- What part of the original thesis has mattered most?
- What would make the call wrong from here?
The scorecard is built to be shared.Use it to audit the current Buy/Sell track record, then open the original research behind each call.
Monthly Performance Report
Since-Inception Statistics
| Series | Monthly cohorts | Average | Median | Best month | Worst month |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LF0 long/short cohort | 6 | +14.3% | +15.9% | +30.4% | -9.8% |
| SPY (same window) | 6 | -0.8% | -1.0% | +1.1% | -2.6% |
| Ahead of SPY (LF0 minus SPY) | 6 | +15.1% | +16.7% | +29.4% | -9.6% |
LF0 beat SPY in 5 of 6 monthly cohorts with benchmark data. How these are calculated: each monthly cohort is every Buy/Strong Buy (long) and Sell/Strong Sell (short) published that month, equal-weighted, with every call measured from its own entry date to the latest price date. Because each cohort is measured to today, cohorts cover different lengths of time (an older month has had longer to move than the latest month). The statistics above are therefore simple summaries across cohorts: the average, the median, the best and the worst. We deliberately do not compound the cohorts into a cumulative return or annualise a Sharpe ratio, because the windows overlap and would double count time. SPY (same window) is SPY measured over exactly the same entry-to-latest windows as the calls it is compared with.
Month by Month
| Month | Calls | Long | Short | LF0 L/S | SPY (same window) | SPY (calendar month) | Ahead of SPY | Hit Rate | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 5 | 0 | 5 | -9.8% | -0.2% | -0.8%* | -9.6% | Not enough data | 2026-11-10 |
| October 2026 | 22 | 2 | 20 | +11.3% | -2.6% | -0.9% | +13.8% | 63.6% | 2026-11-10 |
| September 2026 | 13 | 1 | 12 | +23.2% | -1.9% | -0.3% | +25.1% | 92.3% | 2026-11-10 |
| August 2026 | 19 | 1 | 18 | +10.2% | -2.3% | +2.7% | +12.6% | 73.7% | 2026-11-10 |
| July 2026 | 19 | 1 | 18 | +20.5% | +1.0% | +0.0% | +19.5% | 84.2% | 2026-11-10 |
| June 2026 | 5 | 1 | 4 | +30.4% | +1.1% | -1.0% | +29.4% | Not enough data | 2026-11-10 |
LF0 return is the equal-weighted return from going long each Buy/Strong Buy and short each Sell/Strong Sell published that month, each measured from its own entry date to its latest price date. SPY (same window) averages SPY over those same call-specific windows, so “Ahead of SPY” compares like with like. SPY (calendar month) is the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) price change from the last trading day of the previous month to the last trading day of the month, the way most public sources quote monthly returns. Months marked * are month-to-date. Source: Yahoo Finance.
60 correct · 23 incorrect (72% hit rate)
Correct / Incorrect by Month
| Month | Calls | Correct | Incorrect | Hit Rate | LF0 long/short | SPY (same window) | Ahead of SPY | SPY (calendar month) | Through |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| November 2026 | 5 | 1 | 4 | Not enough data | -9.8% | -0.2% | -9.6% | -0.8%* | 2026-11-10 |
| October 2026 | 22 | 14 | 8 | 63.6% | +11.3% | -2.6% | +13.8% | -0.9% | 2026-11-10 |
| September 2026 | 13 | 12 | 1 | 92.3% | +23.2% | -1.9% | +25.1% | -0.3% | 2026-11-10 |
| August 2026 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 73.7% | +10.2% | -2.3% | +12.6% | +2.7% | 2026-11-10 |
| July 2026 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 84.2% | +20.5% | +1.0% | +19.5% | +0.0% | 2026-11-10 |
| June 2026 | 5 | 3 | 2 | Not enough data | +30.4% | +1.1% | +29.4% | -1.0% | 2026-11-10 |
This table matches the headline tally above, split by publication month. Hit rate excludes pending calls and shows “Not enough data” until a month has 10 scored calls. SPY (calendar month) is the S&P 500 ETF (SPY) price change from the last trading day of the previous month to the last trading day of the month, the way most public sources quote monthly returns. Months marked * are month-to-date. Source: Yahoo Finance.
November 2026 5 calls
-9.8%if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells
-0.2%SPY / S&P 500 over the same windows
-9.6%behind SPY
| Ticker | Rating | Published | Entry | Latest | Stock Return | Signal Return | Verdict | Status | Expected Range 3M / 6M | LF0 Article | Scorecard Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BFLY | Strong Sell | 2026-11-02 | $6.14 | $6.51 | +6.0% | -9.0% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $2.74–$8.47 · 6m $1.93–$9.52 | Original research | Pending |
| FLUT | Strong Sell | 2026-11-04 | $81.79 | $82.51 | +0.9% | -1.3% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $64.63–$107 · 6m $58.16–$119 | Original research | Pending |
| AMPX | Strong Sell | 2026-11-05 | $7.52 | $9.17 | +21.9% | -32.9% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $4.53–$9.66 · 6m $4.53–$10.69 | Original research | Pending |
| ABCL | Strong Sell | 2026-11-09 | $12.50 | $12.46 | -0.3% | +0.5% | Correct | So far | 3m $6.67–$15.35 · 6m $5.15–$16.74 | Original research | Pending |
| VOYG | Strong Sell | 2026-11-09 | $27.90 | $29.02 | +4.0% | -6.0% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $14.50–$44.70 · 6m $14.54–$54.21 | Original research | Pending |
October 2026 22 calls
+11.3%if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells
-2.6%SPY / S&P 500 over the same windows
+13.8%ahead of SPY
| Ticker | Rating | Published | Entry | Latest | Stock Return | Signal Return | Verdict | Status | Expected Range 3M / 6M | LF0 Article | Scorecard Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FISV | Sell | 2026-10-01 | $45.38 | $63.32 | +39.5% | -39.5% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $33.94–$68.03 · 6m $29.39–$78.56 | Original research | Pending |
| MSTR | Sell | 2026-10-01 | $160.50 | $121.07 | -24.6% | +24.6% | Correct | So far | 3m $95.00–$155 · 6m $80.00–$150 | Original research | Pending |
| GFI | Buy | 2026-10-03 | $35.69 | $38.15 | +6.9% | +6.9% | Correct | So far | 3m $28.27–$53.05 · 6m $26.15–$63.70 | Original research | Pending |
| NVTS | Sell | 2026-10-03 | $12.34 | $9.38 | -24.0% | +24.0% | Correct | So far | 3m $5.15–$16.60 · 6m $4.29–$22.49 | Original research | Pending |
| JOBY | Sell | 2026-10-04 | $5.78 | $5.92 | +2.4% | -2.4% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $3.09–$6.05 · 6m $2.77–$6.71 | Original research | Pending |
| TLN | Sell | 2026-10-04 | $331.87 | $361.18 | +8.8% | -8.8% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $260–$459 · 6m $230–$514 | Original research | Pending |
| FIX | Sell | 2026-10-07 | $1,741.36 | $1,105.93 | -36.5% | +36.5% | Correct | So far | 3m $1,152–$2,044 · 6m $1,104–$2,485 | Original research | Pending |
| CCJ | Sell | 2026-10-08 | $87.12 | $72.87 | -16.4% | +16.4% | Correct | So far | 3m $64.12–$111 · 6m $59.73–$129 | Original research | Pending |
| LUMN | Strong Sell | 2026-10-08 | $5.56 | $4.71 | -15.3% | +22.9% | Correct | So far | 3m $3.45–$7.42 · 6m $3.32–$9.80 | Original research | Pending |
| STRC | Strong Sell | 2026-10-08 | $98.72 | $99.89 | +1.2% | -1.8% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $84.00–$96.00 · 6m $78.00–$94.00 | Original research | Pending |
| INOD | Strong Sell | 2026-10-10 | $59.91 | $35.05 | -41.5% | +62.2% | Correct | So far | 3m $32.90–$92.10 · 6m $26.98–$116 | Original research | Pending |
| WULF | Strong Sell | 2026-10-11 | $13.37 | $12.56 | -6.1% | +9.1% | Correct | So far | 3m $7.67–$19.25 · 6m $6.34–$23.29 | Original research | Pending |
| SMTC | Strong Sell | 2026-10-13 | $172.78 | $113.49 | -34.3% | +51.5% | Correct | So far | 3m $102–$223 · 6m $93.59–$282 | Original research | Pending |
| UMAC | Strong Sell | 2026-10-14 | $17.73 | $12.59 | -29.0% | +43.5% | Correct | So far | 3m $8.49–$30.45 · 6m $6.52–$39.67 | Original research | Pending |
| USAR | Strong Sell | 2026-10-18 | $10.09 | $7.92 | -21.5% | +32.3% | Correct | So far | 3m $5.78–$12.43 · 6m $5.78–$13.82 | Original research | Pending |
| LUNR | Strong Sell | 2026-10-23 | $10.52 | $11.81 | +12.3% | -18.4% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $5.90–$10.30 · 6m $4.90–$10.70 | Original research | Pending |
| CRSP | Strong Sell | 2026-10-26 | $49.01 | $45.15 | -7.9% | +11.8% | Correct | So far | 3m $32.00–$44.00 · 6m $28.00–$44.00 | Original research | Pending |
| EVH | Strong Sell | 2026-10-27 | $4.42 | $4.80 | +8.6% | -12.9% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $2.60–$4.50 · 6m $2.10–$4.20 | Original research | Pending |
| TPL | Strong Sell | 2026-10-27 | $330.43 | $274.63 | -16.9% | +25.3% | Correct | So far | 3m $237–$362 · 6m $220–$350 | Original research | Read the review |
| VKTX | Strong Sell | 2026-10-29 | $26.86 | $28.66 | +6.7% | -10.1% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $17.50–$28.50 · 6m $15.00–$27.50 | Original research | Pending |
| SM | Buy | 2026-10-30 | $40.38 | $29.52 | -26.9% | -26.9% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $34.50–$51.70 · 6m $31.00–$57.50 | Original research | Pending |
| ENPH | Strong Sell | 2026-10-31 | $27.93 | $27.64 | -1.0% | +1.6% | Correct | So far | 3m $14.99–$31.36 · 6m $14.99–$34.08 | Original research | Pending |
September 2026 13 calls
+23.2%if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells
-1.9%SPY / S&P 500 over the same windows
+25.1%ahead of SPY
| Ticker | Rating | Published | Entry | Latest | Stock Return | Signal Return | Verdict | Status | Expected Range 3M / 6M | LF0 Article | Scorecard Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CUE | Sell | 2026-09-02 | $26.96 | $18.76 | -30.4% | +30.4% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| BORR | Sell | 2026-09-06 | $4.44 | $3.18 | -28.4% | +28.4% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| LAR | Sell | 2026-09-06 | $6.70 | $4.11 | -38.7% | +38.7% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| RXT | Sell | 2026-09-14 | $3.49 | $2.68 | -23.2% | +23.2% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| ATI | Sell | 2026-09-16 | $189.65 | $182.72 | -3.7% | +3.7% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| ASX | Sell | 2026-09-18 | $41.63 | $35.48 | -14.8% | +14.8% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| PL | Sell | 2026-09-18 | $16.42 | $14.27 | -13.1% | +13.1% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| CAR | Buy | 2026-09-19 | $117.26 | $124.08 | +5.8% | +5.8% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| SIMO | Sell | 2026-09-21 | $268.15 | $169.01 | -37.0% | +37.0% | Correct | So far | 3m $143–$324 · 6m $120–$384 | Original research | Read the review |
| CHTR | Sell | 2026-09-24 | $117.55 | $134.06 | +14.0% | -14.0% | Incorrect | So far | 3m $91.38–$158 · 6m $87.21–$189 | Original research | Read the review |
| ICHR | Sell | 2026-09-27 | $59.42 | $35.27 | -40.6% | +40.6% | Correct | So far | 3m $28.94–$76.64 · 6m $25.82–$102 | Original research | Pending |
| ALAB | Sell | 2026-09-28 | $351.31 | $216.18 | -38.5% | +38.5% | Correct | So far | 3m $177–$467 · 6m $145–$571 | Original research | Pending |
| DOCN | Sell | 2026-09-28 | $136.29 | $79.52 | -41.7% | +41.7% | Correct | So far | 3m $71.77–$167 · 6m $65.47–$215 | Original research | Pending |
August 2026 19 calls
+10.2%if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells
-2.3%SPY / S&P 500 over the same windows
+12.6%ahead of SPY
| Ticker | Rating | Published | Entry | Latest | Stock Return | Signal Return | Verdict | Status | Expected Range 3M / 6M | LF0 Article | Scorecard Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | Sell | 2026-08-01 | $14.54 | $14.92 | +2.6% | -2.6% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| VNOM | Sell | 2026-08-04 | $41.67 | $40.19 | -3.5% | +3.5% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| WGS | Sell | 2026-08-09 | $77.88 | $54.83 | -29.6% | +29.6% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| ADTN | Sell | 2026-08-11 | $7.76 | $4.41 | -43.2% | +43.2% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| OWLT | Sell | 2026-08-12 | $5.81 | $4.34 | -25.3% | +25.3% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| NNDM | Sell | 2026-08-13 | $1.65 | $1.33 | -19.4% | +19.4% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| OI | Sell | 2026-08-14 | $6.79 | $5.11 | -24.7% | +24.7% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| LRCX | Sell | 2026-08-16 | $343.48 | $222.39 | -35.3% | +35.3% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| NUTX | Buy | 2026-08-16 | $188.41 | $186.25 | -1.1% | -1.1% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| STXS | Sell | 2026-08-16 | $1.39 | $1.03 | -25.9% | +25.9% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| SDGR | Sell | 2026-08-17 | $17.40 | $32.41 | +86.3% | -86.3% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| PENN | Sell | 2026-08-19 | $18.56 | $18.45 | -0.6% | +0.6% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| RRGB | Sell | 2026-08-19 | $9.51 | $8.47 | -10.9% | +10.9% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| GTN | Sell | 2026-08-20 | $4.83 | $5.82 | +20.5% | -20.5% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| SRG | Strong Sell | 2026-08-22 | $2.11 | $1.58 | -25.1% | +37.7% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| BA | Sell | 2026-08-24 | $210.46 | $173.38 | -17.6% | +17.6% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| LHX | Sell | 2026-08-25 | $260.92 | $275.96 | +5.8% | -5.8% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| SPHR | Sell | 2026-08-27 | $147.34 | $122.23 | -17.0% | +17.0% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| NXE | Sell | 2026-08-28 | $10.40 | $8.33 | -19.9% | +19.9% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
July 2026 19 calls
+20.5%if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells
+1.0%SPY / S&P 500 over the same windows
+19.5%ahead of SPY
| Ticker | Rating | Published | Entry | Latest | Stock Return | Signal Return | Verdict | Status | Expected Range 3M / 6M | LF0 Article | Scorecard Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTNT | Sell | 2026-07-02 | $156.25 | $123.57 | -20.9% | +20.9% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| MTZ | Sell | 2026-07-05 | $380.63 | $180.84 | -52.5% | +52.5% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| CIFR | Sell | 2026-07-08 | $21.85 | $6.53 | -70.1% | +70.1% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| VSAT | Sell | 2026-07-11 | $69.54 | $74.86 | +7.7% | -7.7% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| TPL | Sell | 2026-07-12 | $408.26 | $330.43 | -19.1% | +19.1% | Correct | Final | — | Original research | Pending |
| HUT | Sell | 2026-07-14 | $98.33 | $56.77 | -42.3% | +42.3% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| ONTO | Sell | 2026-07-14 | $319.32 | $197.51 | -38.1% | +38.1% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| UAN | Buy | 2026-07-15 | $110.58 | $112.45 | +1.7% | +1.7% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| MYRG | Sell | 2026-07-17 | $391.51 | $272.81 | -30.3% | +30.3% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| MARA | Sell | 2026-07-18 | $11.67 | $7.34 | -37.1% | +37.1% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| BMNR | Sell | 2026-07-22 | $17.74 | $18.08 | +1.9% | -1.9% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| RCAT | Sell | 2026-07-22 | $7.83 | $4.21 | -46.2% | +46.2% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| RDW | Sell | 2026-07-22 | $8.99 | $8.13 | -9.6% | +9.6% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| FLNC | Sell | 2026-07-23 | $14.42 | $4.91 | -66.0% | +66.0% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| SMR | Strong Sell | 2026-07-23 | $8.81 | $5.22 | -40.7% | +61.1% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| QUBT | Sell | 2026-07-24 | $7.43 | $6.30 | -15.2% | +15.2% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| NLST | Sell | 2026-07-25 | $2.44 | $6.43 | +163.5% | -163.5% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| AMKR | Sell | 2026-07-27 | $60.60 | $34.47 | -43.1% | +43.1% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| TTWO | Sell | 2026-07-28 | $247.62 | $224.64 | -9.3% | +9.3% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
June 2026 5 calls
+30.4%if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells
+1.1%SPY / S&P 500 over the same windows
+29.4%ahead of SPY
| Ticker | Rating | Published | Entry | Latest | Stock Return | Signal Return | Verdict | Status | Expected Range 3M / 6M | LF0 Article | Scorecard Review |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SKYH | Sell | 2026-06-09 | $9.37 | $10.59 | +13.0% | -13.0% | Incorrect | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| BSX | Buy | 2026-06-14 | $46.76 | $44.39 | -5.1% | -5.1% | Incorrect | Final | — | Original research | Pending |
| SOUN | Sell | 2026-06-14 | $7.33 | $3.87 | -47.2% | +47.2% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| AEHR | Sell | 2026-06-18 | $115.30 | $59.57 | -48.3% | +48.3% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
| BW | Sell | 2026-06-19 | $17.76 | $4.48 | -74.8% | +74.8% | Correct | So far | — | Original research | Read the review |
Generated 2026-11-10T21:33:39+00:00; latest tracker date 2026-11-10. Scorecard review links will be updated as Substack/LF0 post-analysis articles go live.