The Scorecard

The Scorecard is the post-analysis directory for LF0 directional equity research calls. It links each review back to the original LF0 article and tracks what happened after publication. This page always shows the most recent 6 months — older calls move to the archive pages linked below.

The rule is simple: I am excluding HOLD ratings and reviewing only the directional calls: Strong Buy, Buy, Sell, and Strong Sell. For each one, I want to answer three questions:

  1. Was the call correct so far?
  2. What part of the original thesis has mattered most?
  3. What would make the call wrong from here?
The scorecard is built to be shared.Use it to audit the current Buy/Sell track record, then open the original research behind each call.
30 correct · 19 incorrect (61% hit rate)

Correct / Incorrect by Month

MonthCallsCorrectIncorrectPendingHit RateThrough
September 2026312033.3%2026-09-09
August 202620146070.0%2026-09-09
July 202620119055.0%2026-09-09
June 2026642066.7%2026-09-09

This table matches the headline tally above, split by publication month. Hit rate excludes pending calls until there is enough price data to score them.

June 2026 6 calls +17.0% if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells SPY/S&P 500: +2.2% over same windows

TickerRatingPublishedEntryLatestStock ReturnSignal ReturnVerdictLF0 ArticleScorecard Review
SKYHSell2026-06-09$9.37$10.31+10.0%-10.0%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
BSXBuy2026-06-14$46.76$44.96-3.8%-3.8%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
SOUNSell2026-06-14$7.33$6.48-11.6%+11.6%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
AEHRSell2026-06-18$115.30$95.56-17.1%+17.1%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
BWSell2026-06-19$17.76$7.43-58.2%+58.2%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
CARSell2026-06-21$186.28$132.63-28.8%+28.8%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review

July 2026 20 calls -0.1% if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells SPY/S&P 500: +2.3% over same windows

TickerRatingPublishedEntryLatestStock ReturnSignal ReturnVerdictLF0 ArticleScorecard Review
FTNTSell2026-07-02$156.25$157.22+0.6%-0.6%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
MTZSell2026-07-05$380.63$240.68-36.8%+36.8%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
CIFRSell2026-07-08$21.85$16.90-22.7%+22.7%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
VSATSell2026-07-11$69.54$72.36+4.1%-4.1%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
TPLSell2026-07-12$408.26$374.06-8.4%+8.4%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
AMBASell2026-07-14$72.90$68.80-5.6%+5.6%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
HUTSell2026-07-14$98.33$95.92-2.5%+2.5%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
ONTOSell2026-07-14$319.32$278.40-12.8%+12.8%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
UANBuy2026-07-15$110.58$133.16+20.4%+20.4%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
MYRGSell2026-07-17$391.51$286.84-26.7%+26.7%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
MARASell2026-07-18$11.67$11.92+2.1%-2.1%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
BMNRSell2026-07-22$17.74$24.21+36.5%-36.5%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
RCATSell2026-07-22$7.83$8.13+3.8%-3.8%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
RDWSell2026-07-22$8.99$10.70+19.0%-19.0%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
FLNCSell2026-07-23$14.42$10.12-29.8%+29.8%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
SMRStrong Sell2026-07-23$8.81$10.81+22.7%-34.1%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
QUBTSell2026-07-24$7.43$8.04+8.2%-8.2%Incorrect so farOriginal researchRead the review
NLSTSell2026-07-25$2.44$4.63+89.8%-89.8%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending
AMKRSell2026-07-27$60.60$51.35-15.3%+15.3%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review
TTWOSell2026-07-28$247.62$211.14-14.7%+14.7%Correct so farOriginal researchRead the review

August 2026 20 calls +3.1% if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells SPY/S&P 500: -0.9% over same windows

TickerRatingPublishedEntryLatestStock ReturnSignal ReturnVerdictLF0 ArticleScorecard Review
AESSell2026-08-01$14.71$14.82+0.7%-0.7%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending
VNOMSell2026-08-04$41.67$45.27+8.6%-8.6%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending
WGSSell2026-08-09$77.88$86.48+11.0%-11.0%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending
ADTNSell2026-08-11$7.76$7.20-7.2%+7.2%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
OWLTSell2026-08-12$5.81$4.86-16.4%+16.4%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
NNDMSell2026-08-13$1.65$1.50-9.1%+9.1%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
OISell2026-08-14$6.79$6.63-2.4%+2.4%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
LRCXSell2026-08-16$343.84$315.84-8.1%+8.1%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
NUTXBuy2026-08-16$188.41$197.68+4.9%+4.9%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
STXSSell2026-08-16$1.39$1.32-5.0%+5.0%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
SDGRSell2026-08-17$17.40$19.20+10.3%-10.3%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending
PENNSell2026-08-19$18.56$17.17-7.5%+7.5%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
RRGBSell2026-08-19$9.51$8.20-13.8%+13.8%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
GTNSell2026-08-20$4.91$4.77-2.9%+2.9%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
SRGStrong Sell2026-08-22$2.11$1.91-9.5%+14.2%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
BASell2026-08-24$210.46$206.42-1.9%+1.9%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
LHXSell2026-08-25$260.92$250.41-4.0%+4.0%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
ALTSell2026-08-26$3.15$3.35+6.3%-6.3%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending
SPHRSell2026-08-27$147.34$140.94-4.3%+4.3%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
NXESell2026-08-28$10.40$10.64+2.3%-2.3%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending

September 2026 3 calls -3.6% if you’d gone long the buys / short the sells SPY/S&P 500: -0.4% over same windows

TickerRatingPublishedEntryLatestStock ReturnSignal ReturnVerdictLF0 ArticleScorecard Review
CUESell2026-09-02$26.96$30.50+13.1%-13.1%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending
BORRSell2026-09-06$4.44$4.30-3.2%+3.2%Correct so farOriginal researchPending
LARSell2026-09-06$6.70$6.76+0.9%-0.9%Incorrect so farOriginal researchPending

Monthly Performance Report

LF0 return is the equal-weighted monthly cohort return from going long each Buy/Strong Buy and short each Sell/Strong Sell. SPY/S&P 500 is averaged over those same call-specific entry-to-latest windows. Sharpe is annualized from monthly observations with a zero risk-free-rate assumption.

MonthCallsLongShortLF0 L/SSPY/S&P 500ExcessHit RateThrough
September 2026303-3.6%-0.4%-3.2%33.3%2026-09-09
August 202620119+3.1%-0.9%+4.0%70.0%2026-09-09
July 202620119-0.1%+2.3%-2.4%55.0%2026-09-09
June 2026615+17.0%+2.2%+14.8%66.7%2026-09-09

Since-Inception Statistics

SeriesCumulativeAvg MonthlyMonthly VolSharpe Ann.
LF0 long/short cohort+16.1%+4.1%9.0%1.57
SPY/S&P 500 baseline+3.1%+0.8%1.7%1.59
Excess vs SPY+12.8%+3.3%8.3%1.38

LF0 beat SPY in 2 of 4 monthly cohorts with benchmark data.

Generated 2026-09-09T21:31:51+00:00; latest tracker date 2026-09-09. Scorecard review links will be updated as Substack/LF0 post-analysis articles go live.